INTERMEDIATE TRAINING
Fit Tip # 4:  Sector Rotation

Using a little known fact about Mutual Funds can have a dramatic impact on their growth.

Canadian and US funds are ranked into four distinct sub-categories by the independent fund ranking firm, Barra. (Check out their web site at barra.com) Their rankings are: Large Cap Value, Large Cap Growth, Small Cap Value and Small Cap Growth. These rankings are independent of how the large fund companies rank their funds and are based on independent testing. In fact, some funds are called "Growth" by the fund companies, when they are value. The name of the fund doesn't always tell you what they are.

Part of my fund ranking system utilizes this characteristic. The chart below shows how the different categories performed over the past 10 years. This explains why your funds can be going down when the market is going up. In the year 2000, for instance, Large Cap Value funds gained 32%, while Large Cap Growth declined 6% (Think Nortel).

When I use this, with FIT Tip 6, I often rebalance my client portfolios two or three times a year. I have found that this keeps us ahead of the indexes in Bull markets and retains capital in Bear markets. My clients are positioned for growth when the market is going down, because they do not have to make up the same amount of capital as others who followed traditional "Buy and Hold" strategies.

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
LC
Value 19%
SC Growth 34% SC Growth 54% LC
Value 2%
LC
Value 16%
LC
Value 36%
LC
Value 29%
LC Growth 2% LC Growth 42% LC
Value 32%
SC
Value 25%
LC
Value
-7 %
SC Growth 19% SC Value 6% SC Value 47% LC Growth 
 -1%
SC Growth 14% SC Growth 34% SC Value 23% LC Value  
-1%
SC Growth 39% SC
Value 5%
LC
Value 5%
LC
Growth
-9 %
SC Value 15% LC Growth 2% LC
Value 32%
SC  Value  
 -5%
LC Growth 13% SC Value 30% SC Growth 4% SC  Growth 
 -19%
SC
Value 7%
SC Growth 3% SC Growth 
 -8%
SC
Growth
-11 %
LC Growth 3% LC   Value 
  -5%
LC Growth 31% SC Growth
  -15%
SC Value 12% LC Growth 22% LC Growth 4% SC Value  
 -23%
LC
Value 3%
LC Growth 
 -6%
LC Growth 
 -21%
SC
Value
-15 %
   Barra Large Cap Value    Barra Small Cap Value
   Barra Large Cap Growth    Barra Small Cap Value

SEE DISCLAIMER